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How does the 12C hold its value

55K views 214 replies 41 participants last post by  Glenn Quagmire  
#1 · (Edited)
I'm getting closer and closer to picking up a 12C but want to make sure the decision is sound, since it is, after all, a big purchase.

So a few noob observations:

1. McLaren's residual on a 12C Spider is $175k ($300k car) after 39-months and 5k miles per year.

2. There are no closed-end leases on 12C coupes, presumably because the car will be worth much less than what you're guaranteeing (I believe it is $140k personal guarantee right now on a $280k car, but the car will get $100k at auction in 3 years if not less given what I have been reading and the depreciation)

3. Clearly it doesn't make sense to purchase a 12C coupe

4. 650S coming out will definitely have an adverse effect on 12C prices (Coupes hit hardest, Spiders less so)

Does it make sense to simply buy the 650S?

Does it make sense to buy a 12C Spider?

Does it make sense to lease a 12C Spider (comes out to $110k over three years, you're done and you don't own the car)

The reason for my post is simple: I saw another post on here that claims a 12C coupe with 10,000 miles is being sold for $100k - this is quite alarming.

I'm looking at justifying the purchase/lease in my mind without loosing "too" much

Thoughts?

Edit: Or perhaps buying a USED 12C might not be a bad idea...
 
#2 · (Edited)
2. You're crazy if you think a 12c will bring only 100k at auction 3 years from now.

3. Makes perfect sense. Its better looking that the spider and they are by far the cheapest and will have the least depreciation.

4. Spiders will get hurt most because coupés are older already. Most are 2012s. Newer spiders will see the majority of the depreciation. Do you really think a 300k 650 is going to affect the price of a 180k coupe? There is 120k difference. Not even remotely the same buyers.

If you can show me a coupe with 10k miles selling for 100k I'll buy it tomorrow and pocket the 80k I'll save by selling mine for 180k...



 
#7 ·
Better looking - well apart from the side window and the engine cover, it's exactly the same (unless I'm wrong?)

Spiders seem to hold their value well, better than Coupes.

2013 Coupe = $130 after 3 years
2013 Spider = $175 after 3 years
(all from McLaren / Putnam)

I agree $100k is idiotic, but I'm sure there are some $150k cars out there and certainly will be in a few months....

It appears the move is to find a used Coupe or Spider for $180-200k and cap on that.
 
#4 · (Edited)
I just bought a $311K MSRP 2012 coupe, with every CF option, for $198K. I bought my Ferrari a while ago which had a $248k sticker for $170K when it was three years old. I always say the first owner takes the hit and the second enjoys the car.

I could probably afford to play in the new car sandbox, but hate to blow the first year depreciation when I can have a spotless car and another 100K in my pocket for the same general experience. You have to set your price threshold, do research to find the best car (This is one of the best parts of the purchase experience) and then drive it. The drive will close the deal if you have set your price point properly so you can dream about it at night instead of worrying about the next payment.

Think less, drive more.
 
#13 ·
right now - for what you describe ( regardless of MSO options ) the market is at 170-180K IMHO - good luck - as every 12 C owner has said - this is a steal and entree to long term auto nirvana as long as you drive it and don't put it in a plastic bubble - and in no way will be impacted by the 650S! Indeed the 25 or less bhp and whatever other advantages it is claimed to have over the upgraded 12C won't be really be in noticeable effect unless you are on the track AND 650S will be almost twice the price at list as your mint low mileage bargain super car gentle used op of the decade - go for it !!
 
#19 ·
noone,
Like most things one reads on the debauched internet ..... there are no true "reliable sources"! But, in all honesty, I did read 620.
But, I have seen many reputable automotive sites that have said at least 600hp ...... So it wouldn't be supernatural to gain just 20 more measly ponies. I'd say they are looking to be right up there with everyone else; The more the merrier, right ! :)
 
#20 ·
I came to this thread for information, not misinformation.

The Acura NSX will be around 400HP, I know this because I'm second in line (and have been since 2010). the dealer has had to refund all our monies we have put down on them because it's been almost 5 years. While it will have the look (potentially) of an exotic, the HP is not there. That being said, it will be a great daily driver that myself and most exotic owners will feel comfortable driving without everyone sneering at the $300k+ car.

The Corvette is not an exotic regardless of HP. The fit and finish are not comparable to a Ferrari/Lambo which the majority of enthusiasts would classify as "exotic". Exotic is not a HP demonstration alone, it is the look and FEELING of when you drive it. As I test drove the C7, I loved the look but the car was in NO WAY refined enough to be classified as a supercar or as an exotic. The Corvette, Acura and Porsche are great daily drivers that have great HP/weight and limited novelties that put them in the "exotic" arena.

A 99-04 360 Modena is still considered a better choice for exotic because it IS an exotic. Too expensive, Labor intensive, and couldn't be a worse purchase to spend 70k-150k. After all those negatives, it's still exactly what someone would classify as an exotic because if you've really driven one you would understand and not compared a Corvette to a Ferrari.

Also, I also know my Enzo will destroy my future NSX (whenever it may come out). I wouldn't classify my NSX as "exotic" in any way but I will feel comfortable driving it every day in the rainy season in FL. If you REALLY own an "exotic", then you know the first thing you check is the weather report before you even contemplate driving it.

After all that, this McLaren MP4-12C seems like a great deal, but 0 information on holding it's value 5 years from now. Dealers are doing open ended leases with 65k value (ridiculous, if you have to do this, buy the Corvette or something you can really afford).
 
#34 · (Edited)
I do not understand the point if this post. I have a C6Z06 and a 12C and love them both and drive them both daily but in rotation of a few weeks at a time one getting primary use. Check the weather? Why? They don't melt and if anything I figure the Brits got wet weather performance right.

If anything I drive the 12C more, as it's a '12 and has about 10K miles but my '08 Z has only about 20K.

Everything new depreciates with only the rarest exceptions, and even then go put 10K on it and see if it doesn't drop in value.

Nobody lives for ever and I am not holding my car for the next owner. I intend to enjoy it now.
 
#24 · (Edited)
Most high end exotics loose most of their early depreciation in the first two years. I won't use Bentley GT Speed as an exotic, but it's not uncommon to have a $265k sticker and two years later it's worth $160k...again just one example.

According to dealers (even non-McLaren) they say the 12c depreciation has hit and market has steadied out. Yes, all cars depreciate--Ferrari, Lambo, etc. The value for the money (HP, etc) is amazing on the 12c IMHO, and a great way to get into the brand (or jump to 650).

Watch what is about to happen (and is happening) with 458 market. Prices are dropping on secondary as those waiting for 458T are selling their cars, which is causing 458 to lose value--nature of car releases. Check into a 458 about March next year and you'll be able to steal one.

Remember you from Tesla forum.
 
#28 ·
12c hold it's value?

There is a lot to consider in buying an exotic and specifically a McLaren 12c
1)You first have to accept the fact that it is a used car once it leaves the dealer, like most cars. So used is the best choice. Just find the best deal with the least miles.
2) It's not an investment in assets; it's an investment in pure joy. It's something truly special at the highest apex of automotive design and performance. It's also very limited
3) Unlike other exotics, this has F1 race car breeding all over it.
4) Longer term it will appreciate in value, "if you keep it". But that's not the reason to buy it now. At these prices and times (the depreciating value of the dollar and high horsepower cars) this mix will not be the same in years to come given the faux dollars in circulation and the green movement killing everything oil based. My view is that all McLarens are very limited by comparison and of higher leading edge technology than most others in this category and price. The declining value of the dollar will make hard assets like this (with the fun factor thrown in), worth more much later. So buy now and enjoy. I bought a 12c coupe from a major collector with only 1650 miles on it. The finds are there. Keep looking. I also chose the coupe because I like this design better than the spider. That's just subjective. Buy what you like
 
#29 ·
There is a lot to consider in buying an exotic and specifically a McLaren 12c
1)You first have to accept the fact that it is a used car once it leaves the dealer, like most cars. So used is the best choice. Just find the best deal with the least miles.
2) It's not an investment in assets; it's an investment in pure joy. It's something truly special at the highest apex of automotive design and performance. It's also very limited
3) Unlike other exotics, this has F1 race car breeding all over it.
4) Longer term it will appreciate in value, "if you keep it". But that's not the reason to buy it now. At these prices and times (the depreciating value of the dollar and high horsepower cars) this mix will not be the same in years to come given the faux dollars in circulation and the green movement killing everything oil based. My view is that all McLarens are very limited by comparison and of higher leading edge technology than most others in this category and price. The declining value of the dollar will make hard assets like this (with the fun factor thrown in), worth more much later. So buy now and enjoy. I bought a 12c coupe from a major collector with only 1650 miles on it. The finds are there. Keep looking. I also chose the coupe because I like this design better than the spider. That's just subjective. Buy what you like
All valid points.
 
#35 ·
12C with P Zeros is very driveable in the wet, outstanding in fact - especially considering it is a high power turbocharged rear wheel drive car.

Depreciation is different in respective markets but I think two cars will influence where it ends up over the next few years - the 430 and 458.

The reason I believe this is that the 12C was a direct competitor for the 458 - it was faster, more modern technology and more powerful. The 458 was from a 'blood-line' that had a much larger following and acceptance and had a n/a engine, which defines the driving experience and the differences between the two cars.

There will be many who prefer the 458 in the future because additional speed of new turbo products from most brands makes the advantages of the 12C over the 458 more irrelevant to most of those people and possibly enhances the appeal of the n/a cars. However, some of them will start to feel that turbocharged, McLaren and more power is something desirable and I think the used market could see more of a bleed from 458 to 12C over time than the new market has seen. This means that the 12C will be a little behind the 458 in value but not too much and if there is a bigger bleed from 458 to 12C because people want the power to 'keep up' with their 458T mates then 12C could well narrow the gap (gap is about about 20% car for car in the UK currently).

So, I would expect the 12C to track the 458 slowly down, the 458 finishing about 25% ahead of the 430 once 458T is a few years into its cycle.

Therefore, the other car is the 430. The differences in performance and technology are so vast between the 12C and 430 that I think the 430 will be make a kind of 'base' for 12C values. It will be some while before any of them are being affected by 'classic' value, where heritage, significance and appearance take over from image, performance and technology as value drivers - then it's anybody's guess (although 12C might fare well if McLaren get their act together and build their brand properly).

So, I think for those coming out of or considering going into a 430, the 12C would be preferable for many more of them than for the 458, meaning the lower supply of 12C will keep values above 430. Of course, for some only a Ferrari will do, but the huge difference in 430 supply and 12C supply should take care of that.

Overall, if my logic is correct you might assume that 12C will end up about midway between 430 and 458 over the next few years, meaning that the current gap to 458 will close a bit, in turn meaning that 12C might be a better performer than 458 from where it is currently. For those hoping the 458 takes a nosedive (McLaren v Ferrari tribalists!) I would be careful what you wish for because I think that would take 12C and 650 values with it. 458 is the clear market benchmark. If McLaren do well over the next few years that could change things because the supply of 12C is so limited - it is theoretically possible that 12C overtakes 458 purely by demand being able to more easily outstrip supply. Unlikely though and even more unlikely the way McLaren manage their brand with continual discounting.

The logic could apply in each market where the figures won't, so I can't really put a price on it for everyone, but for the UK, the 430 is about ÂŁ80k, a three year old 458 is about ÂŁ150k and a three year old 12C about ÂŁ120k, source: PistonHeads (newer cars are worse - 2014 458 coupes are still advertised at ÂŁ20k more than I paid for my new 2014 12C Spider a year ago).

The conclusion has to be that a late McLaren (650 for instance) will fall hard and fast unless bought with a big discount, which many now are being, but that earlier cars represent the best value of all (2011 to 2013 Coupe and early Spider).

All I. M. V. of course...
 
#36 ·
I think some of this will depend on how many 650S will be released and how different its successor will look. If they release more than 3500 before a refresh or the refresh looks P1'ish and more like the 650S, it could flood the market and it can also make the 12C seem more special.

What do you guys guess will be the total production run of 650S'? My guess is it will be more limited as 2015 will intro the P13 which will eat into production, making the 650S a bit more rare. I'm suspecting under 2000 total.
 
#37 ·
I agree 650S they are front loading, as they will need the capacity to build P13. 650's will certainly be harder to find once P13 production commences. McLaren knows this, and that's why the volume now. All of the armchair quarterbacks that are crying about too many being produced right now are not thinking ahead. 650S is awesome and have a stablemate like the P13 in portfolio will be brilliant.
 
#50 ·
Why worry about the values of the 12C

Hi everyone,
I've been on here since August reading all I could about the 12C. I finally took the plunge and bought a December 2012 reg Spider. A couple of points I would like to make.
1) if you buy any car new with the exception of a very few cars you will take a big hit. But the people that do buy new can afford to take that hit otherwise they would not do so.
I bought a 2007 430 coupe in sept 2009, price new ÂŁ156000 price just 20 months old ÂŁ86000. I then bought an R8 V10 coupe, again 18 months old, price new ÂŁ130000 price at 18months old ÂŁ80000. My 12c spider was ÂŁ266000 new and I paid ÂŁ155000 when it was 20 months old.
My point being this, unless we are very lucky all cars depreciate, it's a fact of life, but if you buy a used car well the hit will be much less.
As fair as the 12C is concerned i think mid term say 5 years from now prices will edge up and carry on doing so. If you think about it the 12C is the first production car that Mclaren has really made, I know the F1 was built in the early 1990s but it was built in very small numbers.
As time goes on I think the 12C will be viewed as significant car in Mclarens history. And I think that the 12C will be a good investment as time goes on. It is the first car I have bought with the view of keeping it long term.
If I'm wrong which obviously I could easily be, then I will have owned a great, probably the best drivers car I have ever been privileged to own.
Guys we only get one lap around the track, so make sure you enjoy it.
Just my take on the 12C and life.;)
 
#52 ·
Hi everyone,
I've been on here since August reading all I could about the 12C. I finally took the plunge and bought a December 2012 reg Spider. A couple of points I would like to make.
1) if you buy any car new with the exception of a very few cars you will take a big hit. But the people that do buy new can afford to take that hit otherwise they would not do so.
I bought a 2007 430 coupe in sept 2009, price new ÂŁ156000 price just 20 months old ÂŁ86000. I then bought an R8 V10 coupe, again 18 months old, price new ÂŁ130000 price at 18months old ÂŁ80000. My 12c spider was ÂŁ266000 new and I paid ÂŁ155000 when it was 20 months old.
My point being this, unless we are very lucky all cars depreciate, it's a fact of life, but if you buy a used car well the hit will be much less.
As fair as the 12C is concerned i think mid term say 5 years from now prices will edge up and carry on doing so. If you think about it the 12C is the first production car that Mclaren has really made, I know the F1 was built in the early 1990s but it was built in very small numbers.
As time goes on I think the 12C will be viewed as significant car in Mclarens history. And I think that the 12C will be a good investment as time goes on. It is the first car I have bought with the view of keeping it long term.
If I'm wrong which obviously I could easily be, then I will have owned a great, probably the best drivers car I have ever been privileged to own.
Guys we only get one lap around the track, so make sure you enjoy it.
Just my take on the 12C and life.;)
Yep, you get it. Nice write up.
 
#55 ·
texex91 -- What is your avatar a picture of? It looks like it should be a watch, but I'm getting confused by what is around what appears to be the face of what i want to think is the watch part.

-Jamie.
 
#61 · (Edited)
I think MPC production capacity current-state is capable of 3,500+ units/year. I'd reckon it can be upgraded/downgraded ~1,000 units depending on demand and/or models being produced (once P1-run is concluded; P15 production begins; P11 platform wraps-up and P14 starts to roll, etc.

Reasonable expectations for:

2,500/year P13s
1,000/year P11s/P14s
500/year P15s

May be every 8-10 years, there will be a halo P1-like model with limited-run...

(all of the aforementioned #'s are merely guesstimates on my part; P13s could be 3,500; P11s/P14s could be 1,500; P15s could be 250; etc)
 
#62 ·
I agree. Once McLaren starts to add more models into the portfolio, it will appeal to a wider audience, and thereby bring the ability to have people move up or down in the brand. I too believe they will continue a halo car to keep things exciting. With these new additions the majority will be unsold (or dealer stock cars). If they only built SOLD units, they might as well shut their doors--can't sustain a business model that way.

Excited to see the new entry next year and bring more buyers to the brand.
 
#78 ·
Don't agree. 458 is getting stale. Ferrari is going public, have all of these politics to now worry about. It will never be the same again.. no worries. 12c is not going down. It's now a 'old' model, so yes, depreciation occurs. Like any car when you drive it off the lot.

650s and other new version will actually help McLaren sway new owners from other brands (at least if they don't read this forum LOL).